2004 Florida Registered Republican Voters vs. votes for Bush
This is a simplified version of a busier chart.
- The Florida counties are listed across the bottom (X axis), ordered
left to right, from the most to the least number of registered voters.
- The red area is the percentage of all of the registered voters who
were registered Republican, by county.
- The red line with squares is the percentage of the total vote that
was cast for Bush.
For example, all the way on the left, Miami-Dade county has the most
registered voters. 45.72% of the votes cast for the office of President
were cast for Bush, and 34.79% of that county's voters registered Republican.
By contrast, all the way on the right, Liberty county has the least
number of registered voters of any county in Florida. 63.79% of the votes
were cast for Bush, and 7.85% of that county's voters registered Republican.
Stuff i've noticed
- In this graph, you can clearly see that even assuming that every
registered Republican voted for Bush, there are many others who are
voting for Bush as well.
- Something remarkable definitely happened in the lower population
counties, on the right side of the chart. Unless fraud or errors
resulted in incorrect counts, Bush
must have gotten large numbers of registered Democrat voters from
these counties to vote for him. There's just not enough
non-Democrat-registered voters to add up to what Bush received. It's
really quite amazing. In many of these counties, Bush was scoring
consistently 30 points higher than the voter registration numbers would
But before you decide those counties gave Bush the win, take a look
chart of votes for Bush by county. There's just not that many
registered voters in those counties. If you add up all the votes Bush
received in those counties, and subtract what Kerry received in the same
counties, you're talking about 50,000 votes for Bush, net. If you
exclude a few of those counties that are less than 65% white, then the
net gain for Bush is about 70,000. A substantial number, but still less
than 25% of Bush's overall 370,000+ margin of victory in Florida. Bush
won the election in Florida because of the votes he received in
Florida's other counties.
A PDF version of this chart
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